Stocks Rise After Buffett Offer of Aid to Bond Insurers Eases Some Credit Concerns

Wall Street finished mostly higher Tuesday after billionaire investor Warren Buffett offered to help out troubled bond insurers, easing some of the market's concerns about further deterioration in the credit markets. The Dow Jones industrials rose more than 130 points.

In an interview on CNBC, Buffett said his Berkshire Hathaway Inc. holding company has offered a second level of insurance on up to $800 billion in municipal bonds. The reinsurance offer is for bond insurers Ambac Financial Group Inc., MBIA Inc. and Financial Guaranty Insurance Co., known as FGIC.

Word of the offer gave some investors relief although Buffett said a deal would only back municipal bonds, and not the risky and complicated financial instruments that many see as more likely to have problems. Still, further assurances on the soundness of municipal bonds could help shore up Wall Street's confidence and reinforce the differences in quality among various levels of debt.

Russell Croft, portfolio manager at Croft Leominster Investment Management in Baltimore, said Buffett's move gives the market a bit of needed confidence.

"It's a good thing to see," he said. He also agreed with Buffett's assessment that stocks are mostly fairly valued. "We could definitely test some more lows going forward but there was a pretty good drop-off there again and I think people are trying to take advantage of it to get some quality stocks at cheaper prices."

The Dow rose 133.40, or 1.09 percent, to 12,373.41. The blue chip index was up more than 200 points earlier in the session. The Standard & Poor's 500 index advanced 9.73, or 0.73 percent, to 1,348.86.

However, the Nasdaq composite index edged down 0.02, or less than 0.01 percent, to 2,320.04.

Tech stocks fell in the last hour of trading amid uncertainty about Microsoft Corp.'s bid to acquire Yahoo Inc. -- an overture that could eventually go hostile. In addition, Research In Motion Ltd. fell after its Blackberry e-mail system had an outage.

Bond prices fell Tuesday after Buffett's announcement. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note, which moves opposite its price, rose to 3.67 percent from 3.63 percent late Monday.

The dollar was mixed against other major currencies, while gold prices fell.

Light, sweet crude fell 81 cents to settle at $92.78 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Buffett's overture to the big bond insurers reassured investors. Buffett said one firm rejected his offer and he is still waiting to hear from the other two.

Bond insurers write policies that promise to cover payments to bondholders if the entity that issued the bonds defaults. Reinsurance provides a second level of insurance on those bonds.

My Opinion

Investors should be careful not to read too much into the market's advance recent readings on U.S. retail spending show that Americans are hurting financially.

"Stock markets will have good days in bear markets,"

Investors also appeared pleased Tuesday by a government plan called Project Lifeline involving the six largest mortgage lenders to help at-risk borrowers with all types of mortgages retain their homes.

And adding to investors' upbeat mood, Credit Suisse Group sharply reduced its estimate of how much exposure it has to subprime mortgage debt. Switzerland's second largest bank said its debt tied to subprime mortgages, those given to borrowers with poor credit, fell to 1.6 billion francs ($1.45 billion) from 3.9 billion francs at the end of September. Its fourth-quarter net profit fell 72 percent because of write-downs. The company's U.S.-traded shares rose $1.11 to $51.94.

General Motors Corp. fell 52 cents to $26.60 after announcing a fresh round of buyouts to all 74,000 of its U.S. hourly workers represented by the United Auto Workers. The company also reported losses of $38.7 billion in 2007, the largest annual loss for an automotive company.

Yahoo fell 30 cents to $29.57 after the search engine's board rejected Microsoft's $44.6 billion bid. That raised speculation that Microsoft -- whose shares rose 13 cents to $28.34 -- might take its offer directly to shareholders.

Meanwhile, Research In Motion shares fell $2.97, or 3.1 percent, to $91.50 after the company acknowledged that its network service was widely disrupted Monday.

Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by 3 to 2 on the New York Stock Exchange, where consolidated volume came to 3.92 billion shares from 3.51 billion.

The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies rose 5.73, or 0.82 percent, to 705.48.

Overseas, Japan's Nikkei stock average inched up 0.04 percent and Hong Kong's Hang Seng index advanced 1.35 percent. Britain's FTSE 100 rose 3.54 percent and Germany's DAX index rose 3.33 percent. France's CAC-40 closed up 3.37 percent.

Stocks Extend Their Gains Following Employment Report, Hopes for Stimulus Plan

Wall Street scored its second straight big advance Thursday after economic figures suggested the job market is holding up and as lawmakers agreed on measures that could ease concerns about consumer spending. The Dow Jones industrials rose more than 100 points, bringing its two-day gain to more than 400.

While stocks fluctuated throughout the session, trading was decidedly more calm than on Wednesday, when Wall Street executed a stunning turnaround that transformed a sharp sell-off into big gains for stocks. Thursday's rise was notable, however, as investors will often move in a day after a rally or plunge to take profits or scoop up bargains. That the buying largely continued was a positive sign, observers said.

Investors were clearly interested in buying, but despite the size of the advance, there didn't appear to be much conviction to it -- the market is still searching for clues about the economy in hopes of determining whether it will soon pick up or will continue to slow and tip into recession.

In addition, the market wobbled during the session after Fitch Ratings lowered its rating on bond insurer Security Capital Assurance Ltd. Bond insurers have been hurt in the fallout from the mortgage and credit crises, and news of their problems has shaken the market.
But those seeking good news found some in a Labor Department report that said the number of people seeking unemployment benefits last week fell for a fourth straight week. Applications for benefits dropped 1,000 to 301,000, pushing claims down to the lowest level in four months.

Investors also appeared pleased by a widely anticipated agreement between congressional leaders and the White House on an economic stimulus package. The agreement calls for most tax filers to be given refunds of $600 to $1,200, and more if they have children.

Bill Dwyer, chief investment officer at MTB Investment Advisors in Baltimore, said Wall Street found some relief from word of the economic stimulus plan as well as the efforts of regulators to help bond insurers. He said the Federal Reserve's decision to lower interest rate this week could also help some struggling homeowners hold on to their properties. The efforts, he said, could ultimately help stave off recession.

"People have that 'R' word stuck on the front of their forehead. It's really just a dramatic slowing of growth. We may not have a recession," Dwyer said.
The Dow Jones industrial average rose 108.44, or 0.88 percent, to 12,378.61, following a nearly 300 point surge on Wednesday. The Dow has not finished higher for two straight sessions since Jan. 9-10.

Broader stock indicators also rose. The Standard & Poor's 500 index rose 13.47, or 1.01 percent, to 1,352.07, and the Nasdaq composite index advanced 44.51, or 1.92 percent, to 2,360.92.
Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by 4 to 3 on the New York Stock Exchange. Consolidated volume came to 5.48 billion shares, down from 7.3 billion Wednesday.

The Dow on Wednesday swung 631.86 points from its low point to its high -- its largest single-day reversal in more than five years.

Stephen Carl, principal and head of equity trading at The Williams Capital Group, said Thursday's overall trading reflected a continuation of the bounce that first began on Tuesday, when the Fed lowered its federal funds rate by a steep 0.75 percentage point, or 75 basis points, to 3.5 percent.

He said investors were also encouraged that the government's rebate plan, while not perfect, appeared to be progressing. Still, despite some investors' mostly upbeat mood, uncertainty remained. The market's about-face Wednesday, while certainly a relief for many investors, illustrated the fractiousness that has settled into Wall Street in recent months.

"We still have a long way to go in getting the economy on track," Carl said. "Whether we dip into a recession or not, a lot of things need to be fleshed out in the markets."

Bond prices fell as stocks rose. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note, which moves opposite its price, rose to 3.71 percent from 3.55 percent late Wednesday. The dollar was mixed against other major currencies, while gold prices rose
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Light, sweet crude oil for March delivery rose $2.42 to settle at $89.30 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange after the agreement on the economic stimulus plan. Traders wagered the plan to put money in consumers' pockets could increase demand for oil.

Some of Wall Street's most recent concerns relate to the downgrade from Security Capital and broader unease about the stability of bonds. However, investors also looked to New York state regulators in hopes they can hatch a plan to shore up the bond insurance industry. New York Insurance Superintendent Eric Dinallo said in a statement Thursday it likely will take time to draw up measures to help the industry.


After the Fitch downgrade, Security Capital fell $1.16, or 30.6 percent, to $2.63.

Beyond bond insurers, investors have been concerned about the health of corporate profits.

Microsoft Corp. rose more than 4 percent in after-market trading from its Thursday close of $33.25 following the release of its fiscal second-quarter earnings. The company posted a 79 percent jump in profit, surpassing Street expectations, thanks to strong sales of Windows-based personal computers.


The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies dipped 0.71, or 0.10 percent, to 692.72.
Overseas, Japan's Nikkei stock average closed up 2.06 percent and Hong Kong's Hang Seng index fell 2.29 percent. Britain's FTSE 100 finished ahead by 4.75 percent, Germany's DAX index surged 5.93 percent, and France's CAC-40 jumped 6.01 percent.